Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.078396 0.091016 0.104832 0.121055 0.139558 0.159976 0.184186
2024-12-29 0.060025 0.076893 0.097039 0.122766 0.154634 0.192686 0.241432
2025-01-05 0.046704 0.065294 0.089264 0.122194 0.165972 0.221855 0.298219
2025-01-12 0.036225 0.054840 0.080565 0.118285 0.171663 0.243882 0.348228
2025-01-19 0.029188 0.047501 0.074438 0.116300 0.178896 0.268004 0.403120
2025-01-26 0.025843 0.044815 0.074282 0.122437 0.197923 0.310117 0.487302
2025-02-02 0.023020 0.042338 0.073889 0.127871 0.216185 0.352639 0.576109
2025-02-09 0.019030 0.037141 0.068243 0.123943 0.218995 0.371546 0.630371
2025-02-16 0.016281 0.033582 0.064711 0.122848 0.225952 0.397223 0.697217
2025-02-23 0.013726 0.029892 0.060333 0.119550 0.228533 0.415637 0.753460
2025-03-02 0.011716 0.026881 0.056705 0.117007 0.231930 0.435416 0.813351
2025-03-09 0.010445 0.025143 0.055222 0.118212 0.242106 0.467645 0.897264
2025-03-16 0.008824 0.022391 0.051385 0.114462 0.242821 0.483539 0.954617
2025-03-23 0.008225 0.021832 0.052004 0.119789 0.261724 0.534595 1.080719
2025-03-30 0.007372 0.020511 0.050785 0.121104 0.272738 0.571765 1.184106
2025-04-06 0.006337 0.018530 0.047785 0.118143 0.274572 0.591288 1.255348
2025-04-13 0.005542 0.017001 0.045575 0.116612 0.279183 0.616592 1.339871
2025-04-20 0.005293 0.016891 0.046746 0.123000 0.301660 0.679966 1.505517
2025-04-27 0.005015 0.016646 0.047539 0.128579 0.322882 0.742459 1.674142
2025-05-04 0.004320 0.015038 0.044606 0.124691 0.322064 0.758322 1.747229
2025-05-11 0.003837 0.013963 0.042898 0.123620 0.327655 0.788360 1.852501
2025-05-18 0.003330 0.012697 0.040460 0.120316 0.327495 0.805647 1.931531
2025-05-25 0.002916 0.011636 0.038418 0.117765 0.328855 0.826362 2.019545